Make it clear to everyone that the market's major bottom has emerged, and a significant uptrend is expected next week!
My style is to avoid speaking the correct nonsense and go straight to the point, helping everyone to seize this year-end meal trend! From multiple perspectives, I will use facts and data to tell you that this is the major bottom!
On Friday, a signal was very clear, but the whole network kept silent about it, that is, the Chinese yuan has risen by 590 basis points. This is the result after two months of fierce competition between the Chinese yuan and the US dollar.
Anyone with a bit of technical knowledge can see that when the US dollar rose to its highest point of 7.3510, the MACD indicator showed a clear trend divergence, so the US dollar is at the top here.
Once the Chinese yuan finds its bottom and rebounds, the stock market will welcome a significant rise, because foreign capital, which is north-bound, is watching the trend of the Chinese yuan. Since late October, foreign capital has not seen a significant outflow.
Attention! High energy ahead!
From six dimensions, I will tell you that A-shares are at the major bottom here:
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① Technical analysis. When the market fell to around 2900 points, we said it was bottomed out because this is the long-term uptrend line.
This is identical to the pattern before the start of the 2015 bull market, with a head and shoulders bottom (three bottoms), and the time is also a wash of 19 months.
② Valuation. The valuation of the Shanghai Composite Index is less than 13 times, close to the historical low valuation level.③ Policy front. Reduction of stamp duty, increase in holdings by the four major banks, the start of one trillion yuan in national debt in the fourth quarter, continuous increase in holdings by Central Huijin and the beginning of buying index funds, and the financial work meeting also mentioned that various funds should be positioned in A-shares.
④ Sentiment front. There have been multiple calls to invigorate the market and protect the interests of retail investors, but the market has turned a blind eye, with investor sentiment being low, and the market being numb to positive news at the bottom and amplifying negative news. On October 23, the fear and greed index fell to a near historical low.
⑤ Hong Kong signal. On February 24, 2021, near the peak of the market, Hong Kong increased the stock market stamp duty, after which the Hong Kong stock market fell continuously; on October 25, 2023, Hong Kong reduced the stock market stamp duty, is this a coincidence?
⑥ Sino-American game. The key point of the game is that the United States is desperately raising interest rates, while we are lowering them, leading to an increased interest rate differential between China and the United States. With higher U.S. interest rates, foreign capital naturally flows towards U.S. dollar assets. However, the Federal Reserve has reached its limit in raising rates, and with the U.S. elections approaching next year, Sino-American consultations are becoming increasingly frequent.
Next week, the market is expected to see a significant rise, with the first wave of counterattack targeting the annual line around 3150. The market will rise amidst the hesitation and observation of the majority! This prepared end-of-year counterattack and recovery insider information includes two major sub-directions of institutions and hot money, suitable for various operational styles, and by keeping up with our pace, believe that this once-in-a-decade major market trend will definitely include you!
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